If your goal is more than just winning a bunch of regular season, it's to win the SB, then maybe you should look at the fact about which QBs are actually more likely to win SBs. The above attachment will provides the raw data that's the basis for my following observations.
My Observations
To those who believe that losing teams should tank the end of their seasons in order to get a higher draft pick so they can get a “better” QB, especially since the league became more pass happy since the turn of the millennium. However, the simple charting of those who have reached and those who have Won the SB proves that’s not the case, especially since the league turned pass happy after the turn of the millennium.
❖ 11 QBs who have been taken with the 1st pick of their respective draft are 17-8 as SB starters.
❖ 2 QBs who have been taken with the 2nd pick of their respective draft are 1-2, the only 1 who has reached since the turn of the millennium lost.
❖ 2 QBs who have been taken with the 3rd pick are 0-2, the only 1 who has reached since the turn of the millennium lost.
❖ 1 QB who was taken with the 4th pick is 2-1, none have done so since the turn of the millennium.
❖ 4 QBs who have been taken with the 5th pick are 2-4 in SBs, the only 1 who has reached since the turn of the millennium lost.
❖ 2 QB who was taken with the 6th – 9th picks are 2-0.
❖ 1 QB who has been taken with a 10th pick has reached, and Won, the SB: Patrick Mahomes.
❖ 4 QBs who were taken with the 11th – 20th picks are 3-6 in SBs, the 2 who have reached since the turn of the millennium are 3-3.
❖ 4 QBs who were taken with the 21st – 30th picks are 2-5 in SBs, the 2 has reached since the turn of the millennium and are 1-1.
❖ 12 QBs who were taken with the 51st – 99th picks are 9-8 in SBs, the 4 have reached since the turn of the millennium have a record of 2-3.
❖ 11 QBs who were taken with the 100th or latter picks, including UDFA are 13-12, the 4 who have reached since the turn of the millennium have a record 7-6.
If you believe the more TDs your QB throws the more likely you are to win the SB, simple statistical analysis will disprove it.
❖ 0 QBs who threw 50+ TD passes in a single season won the Superbowl that same year.
❖ 1 QB of the 13 to throw 40+ TD passes in a single season won the Superbowl the same year he did.
❖ 40 times QBs have thrown 35+ TD passes in a single season during the Superbowl era, 3 won the Superbowl the same seasons they did, but 6 missed the playoffs.
❖ 0 QBs who have thrown 35+ TD passes in a single season has won the Superbowl that year since the turn of the Millennium, which is about when NFL began to be promoted as “a passing league.”
❖ You’re statistically more likely to go further in the playoffs if your QB throws 35-39 TDs in a single season than 40-49.