A number of fans here want Denver to lose this season in order to improve our draft position in order to get the top QB out of college. Who that QB is, & whether or not getting him will actually work out, is being debate in probably 2 dozen threads already, and probably dozens more prior to the draft. The purpose of this thread is for me provide a detailed analysis that will show that all we may need to do to get that 1st QB is out maneuver the Buccaneers, Bengals & Redskins. After the following link that shows the current standings, I’m going to break up into categories based on their probable desire to trade their pick &/or pass on taking a QB with that pick, as well as their probable need to get a QB. I’ll include their current league ranking in parenthesis as of November 19th.
https://www.nfl.com/standings/league/2018/REG
Teams that got their picks last year
As well all know, 4 of the top 10 picks last draft were QBs, so I’m sure all of would agree that its extremely unlikely that any of these teams would give up on 1 of them after just their rookie season.
(9) Browns
(8) Bills
(4) Jets
(2) Cardinals
Teams that are currently ahead of us in draft positioning, but are probably set at the QB position, for now
(11) Lions
(10) Eagles
(7) Jaguars
The teams that are currently ahead of us that I view as wildcards that I believe could blow-up my assessments
(5) Giants: Are they still in denial that Eli is done being a QB that can still lead them to the promise land?
(2) Raiders: According to the game commentators this past Sunday, Carr seems to think that he’s still part of the Raiders long term plans & that all of these pick their amassing are to get him the supporting cast he’ll need to lead them to the promise land.
(1) 49ers: Garoppolo definitely appears to be their QB of the future, but his season ending injury could provide grounds for someone in their FO to over react & bailout on him already. I’m not saying I actually believe this is even feasible, only that it should be acknowledge for the sake of argument.
Teams that I believe might make a play to climb high enough to get the 1st QB
(23) Redskins: When I was 1st thinking about doing this assessment, there was only 2 teams in this category, then Smith suffered what may prove to be a career ending injury.
(20) Bengals: Call me crazy, but I can’t help but wonder if they’re ready to give up on Dalton, or at the very least draft a “Cutler” in order to push their “Plummer” step up or get ship out.
(6) Buccaneers: Currently 8 picks ahead of us. If they get wind that we’re trying jump a head of them, will they counter in order to stay ahead of us? How many would be happy if we got the 2nd best QB.