Thread: Believe it or not, Broncos could still grab wild card

I am becoming a believer

At this moment, if we win out and the Chiefs lose out, we win the division.

Originally Posted by iLands

At this moment, if we win out and the Chiefs lose out, we win the division.

Chargers would need to lose two more games (not counting against us) too.

If the chargers lose tonight, one path in becomes pretty clear. Win out and have the chargers lose one other game and we're in.

Originally Posted by BroncoWave

I disagree. It's possible the chargers have nothing to play for in week 17 and the Ravens finish 3-1, only losing to SD, and we're drawing dead in week 17. We need as many possible paths in as possible, and SD losing games is one of those paths.

Fair enough, for both you and Frey. Chargers schedule is harder than I thought down the stretch. They could certainly come back to the pack a little

Been playing with the ESPN playoff scenario simulator and it looks like there is no way we lose any sort of tiebreaker with the colts, so as long as we win out we're ahead of them. Miami it seems would win a tiebreaker over us, so we need them to lose one more to be safe, which shouldn't be an issue. After that, it's pretty clear. We need to win out and have either the chargers lose two more or have the Ravens lose two more. If both of those teams go 3-1 over the last 4, we can't catch either. Very fortunate for us the chargers play the Ravens, so whomever loses that just needs one other loss somewhere.

Originally Posted by BroncoWave

Been playing with the ESPN playoff scenario simulator and it looks like there is no way we lose any sort of tiebreaker with the colts, so as long as we win out we're ahead of them. Miami it seems would win a tiebreaker over us, so we need them to lose one more to be safe, which shouldn't be an issue. After that, it's pretty clear. We need to win out and have either the chargers lose two more or have the Ravens lose two more. If both of those teams go 3-1 over the last 4, we can't catch either. Very fortunate for us the chargers play the Ravens, so whomever loses that just needs one other loss somewhere.

Did you look at any scenario involving the Titans? They somehow came back to win that game and are 6-6 with a fairly easy schedule down the stretch

Looks like we're safe over Tennessee.

To the best of my knowledge, this is our current playoff scenario:

Broncos win out

AND 2 of the following 3:

Dolphins lose once

Ravens lose twice

Chargers lose twice (not counting their game against us).

There are other scenarios if we lose a game, but those would be highly unlikely.

As much as it hurts, we need to be big Steelers and Chiefs fans the next two weeks. If Pitt wins tonight and KC wins their next two (against the Ravens and Chargers), we're in if we win out and Miami loses one.

I don’t buy Miami as a threat anyway. As I said earlier, they have the Patriots and Vikings in the next two weeks. I’d be shocked if they win both

So, interesting little wrinkle here if Pitt blows this game... They still have the Pats and Saints on their schedule. If they lose both of those, they finish 9-6-1. Which means we're in as long as we win out and the dolphins lose once.

Yep, I just ran it. If Pitt loses tonight, then they lose to the Pats and Saints, and the dolphins lose once, we are in regardless of what the Ravens and Chargers do. Reason being if Pitt goes 9-6-1 Baltimore either wins the division or finishes behind us at 9-7. That might actually be our easiest path in.

Well, Chargers might beat the Steelers. Not sure how this will hurt our chances.

Originally Posted by BroncoWave

Yep, I just ran it. If Pitt loses tonight, then they lose to the Pats and Saints, and the dolphins lose once, we are in regardless of what the Ravens and Chargers do. Reason being if Pitt goes 9-6-1 Baltimore either wins the division or finishes behind us at 9-7. That might actually be our easiest path in.

So I shouldn’t be mad that the Steelers are gagging this game away?

Originally Posted by VonDoom

So I shouldn’t be mad that the Steelers are gagging this game away?

Maybe not!