I wasn't taking Keenum injury into account with this poll.
I was thinking that we don't really know whether this team is coming together, the offensive line will be better, the running game will be fixed, the WRs other than Sanders & DT will make an impact, the TEs will actually catch passes - or not.
And defensively, will Wade's departure continue to hurt the team? Will Joe Woods develop into an adequate DC? Will the loss of Talib doom their chances of being a dominant secondary? Is there any real CB talent on the roster behind Harris and Roby?
Will Bradley Chubb have an impact season? Will the pass rush be improved to where teams can't just triple-team Von Miller?
And will Vance Joseph manage to become a good coach in his second year?
Lots of questions, few answers. That's why I rate the chances of a melt-down as a coin toss.
And if it's a coin toss, then there's a 50% chance Kelly will see the field just because they have to make a decision whether to go back to the draft in 2019 and use a high #1 draft pick on a QB - or not. The "not" portion of that equation means Kelly has shown enough that they don't feel the need of another developmental QB.
I sure hope that Keenum has another great year, but realistically there is a significant chance he won't. Most outside observers take it for granted that Keenum is just a backup QB who had a good year with a good team and will instantly return to mediocre at best for a pretty bad Broncos team.
That is the national perception about the Broncos. Also-rans in the division.