Thread: The Broncos Should Sit Manning Against The Harmless Jaguars

Originally Posted by zbeg

I just wasn't sure if you actually believed what you were saying about being on fire at the craps table, or if you were making a joke. Mostly because what you perceive as being on fire is simply a product of bunched distribution of random outcomes, and that you have absolutely no predictive ability. Given that every bet in craps is a long-term losing bet (except for taking the odds, where it's exactly 50/50), playing craps is never a winning proposition unless you hate money.

Actually, it was less a literal idiom than in interpretive one. I was basically saying that you don't mess with what is working, I wasn't trying to relate the improbability of a chance based game like gambling to a skill based one like Football.

Having said all that, I've made money in my life at craps. How does your fancy math explain that? On second thought, please don't.

Originally Posted by wayninja

Actually, it was less a literal idiom than in interpretive one. I was basically saying that you don't mess with what is working, I wasn't trying to relate the improbability of a chance based game like gambling to a skill based one like Football.

Having said all that, I've made money in my life at craps. How does your fancy math explain that? On second thought, please don't.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_deviation

Originally Posted by wayninja

Tell me how you are confused, and I will try to help.

Ninja's are devious little turds.

Originally Posted by wayninja

Actually, it was less a literal idiom than in interpretive one. I was basically saying that you don't mess with what is working, I wasn't trying to relate the improbability of a chance based game like gambling to a skill based one like Football.

Having said all that, I've made money in my life at craps. How does your fancy math explain that? On second thought, please don't.

So are you full of crap or are you crapped out?

Manning: 'It's About This Week'
Peyton Manning knows what the team has accomplished so far means little and that he pays no attention to how much the Broncos are favored to win.

video - http://www.denverbroncos.com/multime...e-6660d3ce4450