There arent too many of those pitchers available in baseball anymore...at least not any that you'll get for Dexter Fowler. Chen is our best starter in GB% (outside of Jim Johnson) and even his numbers arent amazing.
I think Rox fans are looking for a little too much. Teams that play in hitter friendly ballparks and have success (Reds, Yanks, O's, Rangers) arent successful because they are loaded with ground ball pitchers. They are successful because they have pitchers that know how to pitch.
4 of the Reds starters have given up 25+ HR's this year, 3 of the Braves, 3 of the Yankees. These are 3 of the best rotations in baseball. 15 of the top 40 in HR allowed are in the playoffs...and that doesnt include the 8 that played on teams that barely missed the playoffs. So more than half of the pitchers that give up HR's are on winning teams. 16 of them also have ERA's under 4.
Smart pitching, good hitting, good rotation management. Those are the keys tp pitching success
I agree with your last statement, but as a counter example. Look at Guthrie. He sucked at Coors, gets traded to the Royals, and appears to be a good pitcher again.
The Rockies need pitchers that know how to adjust their mechanics without blowing them up. This is why our Bullpen is one of the best in the league. We've got 4-5 guys that know how to adjust their release points for throwing at home and away.
Furthurmore, our Starting rotation wasn't as horrible as it seems given the fact that the Rockies had the most errors as a team the whole year. If you look at the bottom 5 in errors, you have the Rockies, Astros, Padres, Giants, and the Rays. Pitchers are going to really start screwing up quickly if they can't trust their fielders. And I think the fact that the Giants are in that list, they won't get past the Cardinals or Nats.
Honestly, I'd love to see Fowler get traded for a starter that has 45-50% Ground ball rate ( I don't think that's expecting too much). The Rockies are loaded in the outfield with CarGo, Blackmon, Cuddier, Colvin, EYJr, and a few others of which I can't pull their names out of the air right now. In fact, I wouldn't be super surprised if neither Fowler nor CarGo are on this team next season. I'd be a little pissed, but not surprised.
I hear Rangers fans talking about trading a pitching prospect+ for CarGo, so they can replace the top 5 hitter they are willing to let walk away. I almost hope it happens. I'd be curious to see thwir disappointment in his hitting away from Coors. On the other hand...hitting in Arlington is rather inviting as well.
By the way...Colorado was dead last with a team ERA of 5.22. Only team in MLB over 5. And that is EARNED runs. Hard to blame the defense for that. So combining poor pitching with poor defense...not exactly a recipe for success
I'm not taking much heat off of the Rockies starting pitching. We had one starting pitcher in our starting rotation at the end of the year, that was there at the beginning of the year, and that was Chacin. Pomerantz should have spent the year in AAA, White is not there yet, the Moyer experement was a disaster, Guthrie (well, I've addressed Guthrie), Nicasio got hurt, DLR wasn't ready to go until the end of the year.
I'm not optomistic, that Nicasio is going to be ready next year and the jury is still out on JDLR, but I do expect an improved starting rotation next year. With all of the injuries Colorado suffered in 2012, I can't be anything but optomistic about 2013, even if I take my homer glasses off I expect them to compete for the 2nd wild card.
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