Kiper's Mock

[SmilinAssasSin27]

Kiper's First-Round Projection

Team Player,Position, School
1 Miami Dolphins Glenn Dorsey, DT LSU
2 St. Louis Rams Chris Long, DE Virginia
3 Atlanta Falcons Matt Ryan, QB Boston College
4 Oakland Raiders Darren McFadden, RB Arkansas
5 Kansas City Chiefs Jake Long, OT Michigan
6 New York Jets Vernon Gholston, DE Ohio St.
7 NE Patriots (from SF) Aqib Talib, CB Kansas
8 Baltimore Ravens Sedrick Ellis, DT USC
9 Cincinnati Bengals Phillip Merling, DE Clemson
10 New Orleans Saints Kentwan Balmer, DT North Carolina
11 Buffalo Bills Malcolm Kelly, WR Oklahoma
12 Denver Broncos Ryan Clady, OT Boise St.
13 Carolina Panthers Jeff Otah, OT Pittsburgh
14 Chicago Bears Sam Baker, OT USC
15 Detroit Lions Leodis McKelvin, CB Troy
16 Arizona Cardinals Jonathan Stewart, RB Oregon
17 Minnesota Vikings DeSean Jackson, WR California
18 Houston Texans Mike Jenkins, CB South Florida
19 Philadelphia Eagles Chris Williams, OT Vanderbilt
20 Tampa Bay Bucs Felix Jones, RB Arkansas
21 Washington Redskins Calais Campbell, DE Miami
22 Dallas Cowboys (f/CLE) Mario Manningham, WR Michigan
23 Pittsburgh Steelers Chilo Rachal, OG USC
24 Tennessee Titans Limas Sweed, WR Texas
25 Seattle Seahawks Fred Davis, TE USC
26 Jacksonville Jaguars Derrick Harvey, DE Florida
27 San Diego Chargers Reggie Smith, CB Oklahoma
28 Dallas Cowboys Rashard Mendenhall, RB Illinois
29 SF 49ers (from IND) James Hardy, WR Indiana
30 Green Bay Packers Keith Rivers, LB USC
31 New York Giants Dan Connor, LB Penn St.
32 New England Patriots Forfeited pick

[SmilinAssasSin27]

No Kenny Phillips AT ALL in round 1??? I just don't get this.

[Rex]

Talib is high. Wow.

[SmilinAssasSin27]

Talib is high. Wow.

I've seen a few having him go that high now that the other Jenkins is staying at Ohio State.

[Rex]

I've seen a few having him go that high now that the other Jenkins is staying at Ohio State.

He is a very good CB and played offense and ST at KU. Very under the radar until the Orange Bowl.

[SmilinAssasSin27]

He is a very good CB and played offense and ST at KU. Very under the radar until the Orange Bowl.

I dunno...sites were projecting him as top 25 before anyone was taking KU seriously. I think to those who pay attention, he was known.

[BroncoJoe]

Kiper gets about 2 or 3 picks right every year. Not sure how he remains an "expert" on the draft....

[Bronco9798]

I'll never understand why the pundits don't wait until after FA to do their mocks.

[BroncoAV06]

Kiper gets about 2 or 3 picks right every year. Not sure how he remains an "expert" on the draft....

When it is a mock draft, it is all speculation. Just because you don't land every pick right does not mean you should lose your job, teams reach/change their minds. It comes down to if he is a good enough talent evaluator for articals and reports for ESPN, guess they feel he is which means he has a job.


I'll never understand why the pundits don't wait until after FA to do their mocks.
I hear ya. I think that the 1st at least only will be changed a little by FA, the top talent will go. I think it is the later rounds that FA changes up, IMO.

[SmilinAssasSin27]

Well this was on the ESPN portion that ya have to pay for...i snaked it from another site and what I saw on ESPNews. They have to justify charging people for worthless info SOMEHOW.

[dogfish]

oh man, i'll be doin' cartwheels if we get clady!



i can't see mendenhall or rivers going quite that low. . .

[SmilinAssasSin27]

The influx of so many jrs really changed the face of this draft

[Scarface]

No Kenny Phillips AT ALL in round 1??? I just don't get this.

He's a little overhyped. Like I said in another thread there have been a lot of better safties to come out over the last 4-5 yrs. Phillips is good but he's not some Top 10 prospect like some make him out to be.

[SmilinAssasSin27]

Well...then I hope he falls and we're smart enough to trade back to gain another #2 (or w/ San Fran) in order to get a Balmer AND Phillips and still use our own #2 on a guy like Mayo or Goff.

[Stargazer]

Kiper's First-Round Projection

Team Player,Position, School
1 Miami Dolphins Glenn Dorsey, DT LSU
2 St. Louis Rams Chris Long, DE Virginia
3 Atlanta Falcons Matt Ryan, QB Boston College
4 Oakland Raiders Darren McFadden, RB Arkansas
5 Kansas City Chiefs Jake Long, OT Michigan
6 New York Jets Vernon Gholston, DE Ohio St.
7 NE Patriots (from SF) Aqib Talib, CB Kansas
8 Baltimore Ravens Sedrick Ellis, DT USC
9 Cincinnati Bengals Phillip Merling, DE Clemson
10 New Orleans Saints Kentwan Balmer, DT North Carolina
11 Buffalo Bills Malcolm Kelly, WR Oklahoma
12 Denver Broncos Ryan Clady, OT Boise St.
13 Carolina Panthers Jeff Otah, OT Pittsburgh
14 Chicago Bears Sam Baker, OT USC
15 Detroit Lions Leodis McKelvin, CB Troy
16 Arizona Cardinals Jonathan Stewart, RB Oregon
17 Minnesota Vikings DeSean Jackson, WR California
18 Houston Texans Mike Jenkins, CB South Florida
19 Philadelphia Eagles Chris Williams, OT Vanderbilt
20 Tampa Bay Bucs Felix Jones, RB Arkansas
21 Washington Redskins Calais Campbell, DE Miami
22 Dallas Cowboys (f/CLE) Mario Manningham, WR Michigan
23 Pittsburgh Steelers Chilo Rachal, OG USC
24 Tennessee Titans Limas Sweed, WR Texas
25 Seattle Seahawks Fred Davis, TE USC
26 Jacksonville Jaguars Derrick Harvey, DE Florida
27 San Diego Chargers Reggie Smith, CB Oklahoma
28 Dallas Cowboys Rashard Mendenhall, RB Illinois
29 SF 49ers (from IND) James Hardy, WR Indiana
30 Green Bay Packers Keith Rivers, LB USC
31 New York Giants Dan Connor, LB Penn St.
32 New England Patriots Forfeited pick

Well, this is 1 of 100 mocks that will be posted by Kiper in the next 3 months. Though, I do like to know what he thinks. TY for posting it.

[Stargazer]

From Mel Kiper:

A few notes from my first first-round projection for April's NFL draft:


• The Miami Dolphins need help on defense and Bill Parcells is a defensive-minded coach, so DT Glenn Dorsey would be the logical pick. And while the Dolphins could listen to trade offers for the top pick, there has not been a lot of movement in the top 10 in recent drafts. Why did Adrian Peterson slip to No. 7 last year? Because teams weren't willing to trade up knowing they would have to part with draft picks and pay more money for the higher pick. Also for Miami, QB Matt Ryan has to be in the discussion because the Dolphins may not be sold on John Beck (a second-round pick last year). Miami needs quarterback help and Ryan is going to be a top-five pick. Ryan might be too good to pass up, and he's a better prospect than Beck was when he came out of BYU last year. (Ryan is the only QB I am projecting will go in the first round).


• St. Louis will likely go with Long -- either Chris or Jake. Although the Rams drafted defensive tackle Adam Carriker last year, I could see them taking Virginia defensive end Chris Long. He's similar to Dorsey in that he plays with tremendous intensity and makes everyone around him better. If the Rams don't go with Chris Long, then Michigan left tackle Jake Long should be the pick since they could use help on the offensive line.


• The Atlanta Falcons should be in a good spot to upgrade at either running back or quarterback, so Darren McFadden or Matt Ryan could be the choice. I like Ryan here because this is a franchise that is in desperate need of a quarterback after going from Michael Vick to Joey Harrington to Byron Leftwich before finishing the season with Chris Redman.


• If Atlanta doesn't take McFadden, then Oakland will. (Remember, Oakland and Atlanta have a coin toss to determine who picks third overall.) After drafting first overall in 2007, Oakland could be looking at getting the best player in the draft if McFadden is available.


Also, there are only 31 selections in the first round this year because the New England Patriots had to forfeit their pick after illegally videotaping signals during their Week 1 game against the New York Jets.


The draft projections below are not based on ratings, but on information I have gathered and where I think teams will go based on needs. The first-round projections will be updated Jan. 31 following

[mclark]

I'll never understand why the pundits don't wait until after FA to do their mocks.

This is the best wisdom of the day. You can't really know a team's needs until you see who they lose and gain in free agency.

I can see us taking Clady -- but not if we sign Jonathan Ogden.

If we sign a linebacker -- then Connor or Rlivers becomes less likely.

If we sign a safety....no Kenny Phillips.

If we sign a DT, a LB, and OT, and a safety...then why not draft a RB in the first round?

[mclark]

No Kenny Phillips AT ALL in round 1??? I just don't get this.

Kiper's secretary must have left Phillips off his depth-chart. Someone's going to catch hell.

[lex]

Kiper gets about 2 or 3 picks right every year. Not sure how he remains an "expert" on the draft....

Is it really a prediction though or what makes the most sense? Teams dont always make the most sensible picks. Why should that count against Kiper. What should be scrutinized more is his analysis of particular players and their grades.

[Watchthemiddle]

Well, this is 1 of 100 mocks that will be posted by Kiper in the next 3 months. Though, I do like to know what he thinks. TY for posting it.

Yup

:salute:

[slim]

Talib is high. Wow.

Has he been hanging out the TH?