PDA

View Full Version : Sweet 16



TXBRONC
12-01-2007, 08:42 AM
I thought you all might like this see this. It's an article on how Jay has done in his first 16 games as the starting quarterback. I've highlighted a few things that really stood out to me. Enjoy!

http://www.rockymountainnews.com/news/2007/dec/01/a-sweet-16/

A SWEET 16
Cutler's promise grows in season's worth of games
By Lee Rasizer, Rocky Mountain News (Contact)
Saturday, December 1, 2007

Jay Cutler, right, "hasn't had the one game where nothing goes right for him," Broncos backup quarterback Patrick Ramsey says. "He fights through it. . . . He's an enormous competitor."

Evan Semon / The Rocky

Broncos quarterback Jay Cutler stacks up favorably against NFL signal-callers who have entered the league since 2000. A year ago this week, Jay Cutler looked over an assembled horde of media for his initial news conference as a starting NFL quarterback.

He wasn't about to make any promises, especially with all the expectations heaped upon him as the Broncos' No. 1 draft pick.

"I'm going to try not to disappoint," he said at the time.

A full 16 games into his tenure - that's one season in NFL years - Cutler hardly has been a letdown.

He measures up statistically against virtually any quarterback who has entered the league in recent seasons during this fledgling stage of his career, having completed 275 of 437 passes (62.9 percent) for 3,385 yards and 22 touchdowns, with 15 interceptions and an 89.3 quarterback rating.

But with Cutler, the numbers don't tell the whole tale.

He has demonstrated the ability to make all the throws, with zip and touch. Cutler has scrambled and slid in the pocket, showcasing his mobility, even running the option a few times.

He has led comebacks, gotten off the field quickly for scramble field- goal drills and made defenses respect the entire field without committing too quickly to run support.

Most of all, he has been unafraid to make the big play, firing into tight spaces but not haphazardly.

There also have been the mistakes of a young player: misreading defenses and some sloppy footwork, but not nearly enough to dampen the team's excitement about Cutler's future.

"He's had a heck of a first year," Broncos coach Mike Shanahan said. "We wish we would have been better with the win-loss record. But what he's been able to do in his first year, I'll put up against anybody."

Having a five-game head start last season helped. That allowed coaches to use real-game experiences to tutor Cutler on his mechanics and reading coverages, while providing an offensive primer in Denver's system.

That short trial also created a comfort level this season. The Broncos have averaged 31.7 points during the past three weeks, and Cutler's confidence appears to be growing.

"I felt pretty good about where I was going to be, especially with those first five games and getting a pretty good feel for everything," Cutler said. "Obviously, I didn't play as well as I thought I could last year. I expected it to be fast and things to happen a little quicker, and they were. But I just needed to slow down a little bit."

If Cutler is flustered, though, he doesn't show it - if he's excited, you can barely tell.

"Sometimes, I give him a hard time because it's like, 'No big deal. Here we are in the NFL and I'm a starting quarterback,' " safety John Lynch said. "But that's always very much impressed me."

That even-keeled approach helps explain why Cutler is one of only five quarterbacks this season with a rating above 100 on third down, along with the likes of Tom Brady, Ben Roethlisberger and Drew Brees.

"A defense that's been playing against him is waiting for something to startle him," receiver Javon Walker said. "But he doesn't show you that."

Cutler responds that he's no robot but works hard to remain calm in what he has referred to several times as "a tough job."

"It's too long of a season to get all worked up," he said, adding, "I love my job. I'm passionate about it. I just don't get excited about it."

The thrill of the moment for the Broncos staff is that Cutler not only is processing where his receivers and hot reads are and what opponents are doing to attack Denver's offense, but he's straying beyond those boundaries.

When his initial reads are covered, he has shown a penchant to buy time with his feet and has looked downfield to make plays.

"Last year, he would have kept retreating in the pocket, waiting for something to happen," assistant head coach/offense Mike Heimerdinger said.

Making plays off-schedule is a key trait Shanahan says separates the good quarterbacks from the potentially great ones - along with third-down success.

Getting creative

One shining example of Cutler making something from nothing came Nov. 19 against Tennessee. Wide receiver Brandon Stokley broke off his route as Cutler left the pocket and found a hole in zone coverage. Cutler fired a laser shot, over a linebacker, across his body to the middle of the field, while rolling right.

The play - Cutler described it then as drawing it up in the dirt - resulted in a 48-yard touchdown, one of 13 completions of 20-plus yards during the past five games.

"In Kansas City, it was the same thing," said Stokley, who scored on a 23-yard fourth-quarter reception Nov. 11 against the Chiefs. "It was a broken route, when he just scrambled around and found me. That comes with experience. And the more experience and more games he's played, the more comfortable he is out there."

"I'm seeing the field well, and the more you play and the later the season goes, the more things open up and the better you can read things," Cutler said. "And right now . . . I know whether we've got a shot at the play, and if it's third-and-10 or third-and-8, I'm going to try and break the pocket and try to make things happen if we don't get the right coverage."

At times, those kinds of plays are impossible without Cutler sidestepping pressure and buying time.

His "clock in the head" mechanism of knowing when to stay and when to take off was a question mark coming into this season. Cutler was sacked 13 times in his five starts last season. That per-game total of 2.6 has dipped to 1.5 this year.

"It's just getting in there and playing," Cutler said. "It's tough to be off for almost a year and get in there and play five games in tough situations. But going through training camp, going through preseason and going through all the games, that stuff comes, and you get a better feel for that."

It also has been a feeling-out process for Cutler, as far as stepping forward into a leadership role.

Despite being voted a team captain, Cutler wanted to earn that respect first, playing the field general but not barking orders or doling out critiques.

But after a 44-7 loss Nov. 4 in Detroit, a game in which Cutler suffered damage to his left fibula, he was taken aside by Lynch, Rod Smith and others and told that, because of his position, he was being looked upon for guidance and needed to stick his neck out more.

"In leadership, there's a time when everybody has to come out of the comfort zone. And it's not always comfortable or a thing you want to do, because you'd rather just let things go," Lynch said. "But we needed him, and he's done a great job."

Starting to mature

Cutler not only talked the talk, but came back the next Sunday after his leg injury and led the Broncos to a rare win at Arrowhead Stadium.

"I've definitely seen him mature, just in the last three or four weeks," said left tackle Matt Lepsis, an 11th-year Broncos player who has played with every one of Cutler's predecessors after John Elway's retirement.

Cutler had his second 300- yard passing game this season in a loss Sunday at Chicago. And during the past three games, he has five touchdowns and only two interceptions, one coming when receiver Brandon Marshall fell on slick turf.

"I knew he was really good," said backup quarterback Patrick Ramsey, a former first- round pick who has gone through the pitfalls of the first full year as a starter. "But what he hasn't had is just that awful game. I had one that I can recall. But he hasn't had the one game where nothing goes right for him. He fights through it. He knows what to do, and he's an enormous competitor."

The Broncos expect Cutler to gain even more confidence with experience. They also hope he'll develop an even better feel for when to use his big arm to throw passes into tight spaces, something he has done a few times during the past month.

"So many factors are involved in the development of a quarterback. That's why I think it's the hardest position to play in sports," Shanahan said. "But I like the way he's competed. I like the way he studies. I like the way he handles himself on game day. I think this guy's ceiling's pretty high."

Among quarterbacks who have entered the league since 2000, Cutler ranks in the top seven in his first 16 appearances in completions (275), completion percentage (62.9), passing yards (3,385), yards per attempt (7.75), passing TDs (22), TD percentage (5.03) and passer rating (89.3). He's in the middle of the pack in attempts (437, 15th), interceptions (15, tied for 17th) and interception percentage (3.43, 18th).

For Cutler those numbers are fine, but the figure that sticks out is 7-9 - his won-loss record as a starter.

"I've been doing well in everything except that, and that's the most important one," he said.

The other number that resonates is 365.

That's the number of days it has been since he was preparing for his opening start, Dec. 3, versus Seattle. That period has been a hard lesson in not only how tough the NFL is physically, but mentally.

"It seems like that was a long time ago," he said.

TXBRONC
12-01-2007, 08:43 AM
I had to break this down into two posts due to length. :tsk:

Broncos at Raiders

* The game: 2:05 p.m. MST Sunday, McAfee Coliseum (63,132 capacity), Oakland, Calif.

* The records: Denver is 5-6; Oakland is 3-8.

* The series: Raiders lead 53-39-2; tied 1-1 in postseason.

* TV/radio: CBS 4; KOA-AM (850), KBNO-AM (1280-Spanish).

* Who's favored: Broncos by 31/2.

The first 16 games: crunching the numbers

The performance in the first 16 games played of every quarterback who entered the NFL since 2000. Note: Statistics include all games in which a quarterback appeared, even if he did not attempt a pass or played only on special teams. Games started and the record in those games are noted. Players are listed in order of passing yards.

Player, team Year Starts Record Att. Comp. Pct. Yards Yards/Att. TD INT Rating

Marc Bulger, St. Louis 2002-03 16 13-3 545 347 63.7 4,262 7.82 28 19 90.3

Carson Palmer, Cincinnati 2004-05 16 9-7 529 332 62.8 3,683 6.96 26 20 84.0
Derek Anderson, Cleveland 2006-07 13 7-6 482 278 57.7 3,551 7.37 27 19 83.1

Jay Cutler, Broncos 2006-07 16 7-9 437 275 62.9 3,385 7.75 22 15 89.3

Drew Brees, San Diego 2001-02 15 8-7 504 308 61.1 3,173 6.30 15 15 76.8

Patrick Ramsey, Washington 2002-03 12 5-7 463 246 53.1 3,169 6.84 17 14 74.5

Rex Grossman, Chicago 2003-06 15 11-4 455 253 55.6 3,152 6.93 18 16 75.8

Matt Leinart, Arizona 2006-07 15 6-9 476 267 56.1 3,094 6.50 13 15 71.9

Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh 2004-05 15 15-0 327 219 67.0 3,093 9.46 21 11 104.7

Jason Campbell, Washington 2006-07 16 7-9 468 266 56.8 3,032 6.48 19 13 78.4

Byron Leftwich, Jacksonville 2003-04 14 6-8 454 257 56.6 2,966 6.53 15 18 71.0

Chris Weinke, Carolina 2001-02 15 1-14 541 293 54.2 2,931 5.42 11 19 61.9

Tom Brady, New England 2000-01 14 11-3 416 265 63.7 2,849 6.85 18 12 86.1

Quincy Carter, Dallas 2001-03 16 6-10 429 230 53.6 2,805 6.54 13 16 68.6

Philip Rivers, San Diego 2004-06 12 10-2 390 249 63.8 2,748 7.05 17 7 91.7

Billy Volek, Tennessee 2001-04 7 2-5 381 238 62.5 2,745 7.20 21 9 92.7

Charlie Frye, Cleveland 2005-06 14 5-9 453 279 61.6 2,737 6.04 13 17 72.5

Joey Harrington, Atlanta 2002-03 14 4-10 514 258 50.2 2,730 5.31 16 19 61.0

A.J. Feeley, Philadelphia/Miami 2001-04 11 5-6 446 240 53.8 2,673 5.99 17 21 65.0

Eli Manning, New York Giants 2004-05 14 6-8 422 210 49.8 2,603 6.17 19 14 70.4

David Carr, Houston 2002 16 4-12 444 233 52.5 2,592 5.84 9 15 62.8

Chad Pennington, New York Jets 2000-02 9 6-3 334 225 67.4 2,591 7.76 16 6 99.0

Chris Simms, Tampa Bay 2003-05 12 7-5 386 233 60.4 2,502 6.48 11 10 78.1

Michael Vick, Atlanta 2001-02 11 6-4-1 341 181 53.1 2,334 6.84 9 5 77.5

Alex Smith, San Francisco 2005-06 14 4-10 373 207 55.5 2,295 6.15 10 17 63.9

Vince Young, Tennessee 2006-07 14 9-5 375 195 52.0 2,277 6.07 12 14 65.8

Josh McCown, Arizona 2002-04 9 3-6 356 206 57.9 2,223 6.24 9 12 70.7

J.P. Losman, Buffalo 2004-06 11 2-9 312 164 52.6 1,947 6.24 10 10 69.2

Kyle Boller, Baltimore 2003-04 14 8-6 333 178 53.5 1,910 5.74 9 14 62.0

Brooks Bollinger, Minnesota/N.Y. Jets 2004-07 9 2-7 307 178 58.0 1,884 6.14 7 7 74.1

Bruce Gradkowski, Tampa Bay 2006-07 11 3-8 352 190 54.0 1,791 5.09 9 10 65.0

David Garrard, Jacksonville 2002-05 7 4-3 282 158 56.0 1,680 5.96 8 4 77.1

Mike McMahon, Detroit 2001-02 7 1-6 262 115 43.9 1,545 5.90 10 10 60.1

Doug Johnson, Atlanta 2000-03 5 2-3 192 108 56.3 1,302 6.78 9 9 73.3

Seneca Wallace, Seattle 2005-07 4 2-2 167 95 56.9 1,100 6.59 9 8 74.9

Tim Rattay, San Francisco 2000-03 3 2-1 163 101 62.0 1,090 6.69 9 2 94.9

Sage Rosenfels, Miami/Houston 2001-06 2 0-2 148 81 54.7 1,041 7.03 9 7 77.6

Tony Romo, Dallas 2004-06 3 1-2 138 64 46.3 816 5.91 6 4 67.8

Matt Schaub, Houston 2004-05 2 0-2 119 56 47.1 667 5.61 4 4 61.9

How Cutler ranks

Jay Cutler finished his 16th game - one full season - as Broncos starting quarterback with a 62.9 completion percentage for 3,385 yards, 22 touchdowns, 15 interceptions and an 89.3 passer rating. A look at how his numbers stack up against his contemporaries who entered the NFL since 2000:

Category Cutler Rank

Starts 16 tie 1st

Attempts 437 15th

Completions 275 7th

Comp pct.* 62.9 6th

Passing yards 3,385 4th

Passing yds/att.* 7.75 4th

Passing TDs 22 4th

Interceptions* 15 tie 17th

Passer rating* 89.3 6th

* Minimum 300 pass attempts.

SR
12-01-2007, 08:51 AM
Pretty impressive when you see the stats broken down and compared like that. :salute:

TXBRONC
12-01-2007, 08:59 AM
Pretty impressive when you see the stats broken down and compared like that. :salute:

He's done remarkably well given the circumstances. I think it's just a matter of time before his win total become an impress stat as well.

SR
12-01-2007, 09:00 AM
He's done remarkably well given the circumstances. I think it's just a matter of time before his win total become an impress stat as well.

Won't be long. He'll be .500 by the end of the year.

omac
12-01-2007, 11:15 AM
Great article, TXBRONC! :salute:

I think fans of other teams will take notice of Cutler even more this post season when the Broncos beat the Pats ... hehehe, yes very longshot, I know. :D

One game at a time; here's to crushing Oakland, Patriots style. :cheers:

TXBRONC
12-01-2007, 11:50 AM
Great article, TXBRONC! :salute:

I think fans of other teams will take notice of Cutler even more this post season when the Broncos beat the Pats ... hehehe, yes very longshot, I know. :D

One game at a time; here's to crushing Oakland, Patriots style. :cheers:



You're welcome.

The Patties are beatable, I can't say that it will be us but they can be beaten.

TXBRONC
12-01-2007, 01:13 PM
:bump2: Bumping because this is football brain food. :D

gobroncsnv
12-01-2007, 04:45 PM
This relates really well to those who think Shanny needs to be gone. The only way that will happen is if he pulls his own trigger. Bowlen is one of the smartest owners in the leagu by just staying out of the way.
The point is, with Cutler coming in, I just can't see Shanny cutting and running anytime soon. He wants to bring Jay as far along as he can, which, according to this article, will end up being pretty darn far. He wants to build the team back to a point where he can shut up all of the geniuses who say that "he can't win without Elway". You just get the feeling that Cutler can help him put that one to rest. And I will really enjoy watching it unfold, from the very beginning. These are good days, people.
Another nice find, TX.

TXBRONC
12-01-2007, 05:50 PM
This relates really well to those who think Shanny needs to be gone. The only way that will happen is if he pulls his own trigger. Bowlen is one of the smartest owners in the leagu by just staying out of the way.
The point is, with Cutler coming in, I just can't see Shanny cutting and running anytime soon. He wants to bring Jay as far along as he can, which, according to this article, will end up being pretty darn far. He wants to build the team back to a point where he can shut up all of the geniuses who say that "he can't win without Elway". You just get the feeling that Cutler can help him put that one to rest. And I will really enjoy watching it unfold, from the very beginning. These are good days, people.
Another nice find, TX.

Thanks, I'm only doing what any other blue and orange blooded Broncos fan would do. :salute:

There are still a lot of variables but with Cutler's abilities and combined with solid talent around I think it's very possible that we are looking at guy who could very special before his career is over.

broncosfanscott
12-01-2007, 09:53 PM
Thanks for the article TX, I see every week how much progress he has made since that Seattle game last year.......and it does seem like a long time ago. I am very glad Shanny moved up in the draft to get Jay.

TXBRONC
12-01-2007, 10:03 PM
Thanks for the article TX, I see every week how much progress he has made since that Seattle game last year.......and it does seem like a long time ago. I am very glad Shanny moved up in the draft to get Jay.

I feel the same way. When Jay was draft there were a lot fans on Broncomania that were really critical of Shanahan when drafted Cutler, they saw it yet another wasted pick.

When I saw that we had picked Cutler I just couldn't find fault with pick. I felt was great pick even though there were other players at positions of need we could have drafted.

broncosfanscott
12-01-2007, 10:15 PM
I feel the same way. When Jay was draft there were a lot fans on Broncomania that were really critical of Shanahan when drafted Cutler, they saw it yet another wasted pick.

When I saw that we had picked Cutler I just couldn't find fault with pick. I felt was great pick even though there were other players at positions of need we could have drafted.

I couldn't find any fault either and was excited that we got him. I don't pay too much attention to college football, yet before the draft I heard several sports people say good things about him.

At the time when I saw him practice and play in preseason, I was happy to know that he would be our future QB whenever that was. I didn't know it would have been that quick, yet wouldn't want it any other way.

TXBRONC
12-02-2007, 12:01 AM
I couldn't find any fault either and was excited that we got him. I don't pay too much attention to college football, yet before the draft I heard several sports people say good things about him.

At the time when I saw him practice and play in preseason, I was happy to know that he would be our future QB whenever that was. I didn't know it would have been that quick, yet wouldn't want it any other way.

Same here at the start of last season, however I had a hunch if Plummer struggled to the point that team was losing games he could get pulled.

BroncoBJ
12-02-2007, 04:32 AM
Nice article. Its funny how I dont read much and usually the only stuff I read is Bronco related. :lol:

But its neat to be able to watch him through all of his starts and to watch him improve.
Pretty crazy its been a year since he first started.

I hope he goes 5-0 in his next 5 games rather then 2-3 like last year. :salute:

TXBRONC
12-02-2007, 09:30 AM
Nice article. Its funny how I dont read much and usually the only stuff I read is Bronco related. :lol:

But its neat to be able to watch him through all of his starts and to watch him improve.
Pretty crazy its been a year since he first started.

I hope he goes 5-0 in his next 5 games rather then 2-3 like last year. :salute:

I got watch Elway grow as quarterback, let me tell you that was one heck of ride. Cutler's develop reminds of the early years with Elway.