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Dean
07-29-2009, 06:45 AM
Here is how Vegas sees our season for any gamblers out there. I guess they don't have their orange and blue glasses on.


http://www.profootballweekly.com/2009/07/28/broncos-2009-pointspreads

:coffee:

Tned
07-29-2009, 07:05 AM
If reading that right, we are favorites in three games?

Dean
07-29-2009, 07:56 AM
If reading that right, we are favorites in three games?

Yeah, they are looking at us having a 3-13 record. IMO that is too low but they may have to offer a little extra to get bets on the Broncos this year; there are just too many question marks.

Dirk
07-29-2009, 08:29 AM
I know nothing about gambling. The extent of my gambling is a quick pick lotto ticket when it gets above 100 million.

But 3-13? Wow! No respect! I think the Broncos are going to surprise A LOT of people this year! :coffee: (and that is being at least 8-8)




Of course I could just be a homer...but I don't care! :coffee:

Thnikkaman
07-29-2009, 08:51 AM
They have to go on stats, and there are way too many unknowns in Dove Valley. Those lines will change as we see what kind of team Denver will be. If they find people are taking Denver more and more because they gave them too many points, you will see Vegas give the Broncos more respect.

Thnikkaman
07-29-2009, 08:54 AM
One other thing. Any game that we get -3 and we are the home team, or +3 and we are the away team is just the home field advantage being reflected in the line. Its a standard 3 points taken from the home team.

NameUsedBefore
07-29-2009, 12:29 PM
Earlier they had us at 7-9.

Lonestar
07-29-2009, 01:57 PM
Denver Broncos

Date
Opponent
Line

Sept. 13
at Cincinnati
+3

Sept. 20
Cleveland
-3½

Sept. 27
at Oakland
+1

Oct. 4
Dallas
+3

Oct. 11
New England
+6

Oct. 19
at San Diego
+9

Oct. 25
Bye


Nov. 1
at Baltimore
+7

Nov. 9
Pittsburgh
+5

Nov. 15
at Washington
+5

Nov. 22
San Diego
+3

Nov. 26
N.Y. Giants
+4

Dec. 6
at Kansas City
+2

Dec. 13
at Indianapolis
+9

Dec. 20
Oakland
-5

Dec. 27
at Philadelphia
+8

Jan. 3
Kansas City
-3½

Overtime
07-29-2009, 02:08 PM
i thought if the spread refers to us, and we were at + that meant we were favored to win by that many points?

FanInAZ
07-29-2009, 02:44 PM
They have us loosing to Cincinnati!!! That totally discredits them.

By the way, the purpose of these point spreads is to sucker fans into betting for the other team. They are based largely on the tallent of the teams playing, but public perception plays a big factor in it as well.

Many fans would probably pick us to beat Cin straight up, but if you give them Cincinnati + 3 and they just might bite.

Ask the average football fan who will win between us and San Diego, they will almost all say San Diego. However, if you give them us + 9 they just might take it.

Them favoring Oakland over us @ Oakland may be nothing more then them acknowelging the Jamarcus Russle hype that may compel many fans to pick them over us.

The bottom line is that if everybody bets on the favorite of what should be the most lopsided match of the week, the Vegas is going to loose money. These point speads are nothing more then a scam to make sure that it don't happen.

Thnikkaman
07-29-2009, 04:16 PM
i thought if the spread refers to us, and we were at + that meant we were favored to win by that many points?

No. Its what you add to Denver's final score. For instance, if you bet on Denver in the game against Cincy, and Denver looses, 17-14 (the spread in vegas would likely be +3.5 points to avoid ties), you would win the bet since the score you were betting on would be 17-17.5 in favor of Denver.

CrazyHorse
07-29-2009, 07:57 PM
At least most of the spreads aren't very wide.
People are sick of blowouts.
I guess it's better to lose 13 games by a field goal than win 8 shoot outs and get blown out in the other 8.
ME I'd take the 8 wins. A loss is a loss either way.

WARHORSE
07-30-2009, 11:59 AM
At least most of the spreads aren't very wide.
People are sick of blowouts.
I guess it's better to lose 13 games by a field goal than win 8 shoot outs and get blown out in the other 8.
ME I'd take the 8 wins. A loss is a loss either way.



Great to see you up and running Crazy.

Keep it up and dont do too much too soon.

Peace..........:salute:

TXBRONC
07-30-2009, 12:06 PM
If reading that right, we are favorites in three games?

Since I've never gotten into betting I'm guessing the games Denver is favored in are Cleveland, Oakland, and K.C. all at home. Is this right?

Krugan
07-30-2009, 05:48 PM
Im not sure why people wouldnt think Cinci isnt going to better this year. Palmer is back and healthy, lets not forget he missed something like 13 weeks last season.

I dont see any of those that seems to far fetched for this early. It wont be like that once the season starts, expect big changes.

Dean
07-30-2009, 06:19 PM
Vegas does not lose money. What line they post has no homerism and it is their livelihood. A great deal of research and experience on handicapping every single team goes into the spreads.

Lonestar
07-30-2009, 06:41 PM
Vegas does not lose money. What line they post has no homerism and it is their livelihood. A great deal of research and experience on handicapping every single team goes into the spreads.



for the most part they have nothing invested in the bet..

they draw the line an d hold your money and some other person bets on the other side to offset it.. when more money is bet on one side or the other the odds (points) change and the casino for the most part breaks even because they are not investing any money..

Odd are that these early season numbers are going to change big time week to week..

It would nice for someone to bring this thread up each week and post the new numbers..

FWIW these sports areas draw big gamblers to the casino for other games of chance, where the house rarely loses money..