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View Full Version : Draft rates:Lower than you think



rcsodak
04-11-2011, 08:07 AM
Pretty good article.
Just goes to show that we fans are ambivalent to facts.

http://espn.go.com/blog/afcsouth/post/_/id/22699/good-draft-hit-rates-lower-than-you-think

"Said Titans general manager Mike Reinfeldt: If you take all the percentages, forget the weighting of the round and say, 'OK, whats the chance of any player being a hit?' Its 40 percent, 39 percent. I would think fans would think itd be much higher.

So what's a good success rate in the draft? A first-round flub and a seventh-round miss are weighted differently, of course. But smash all of it together, and what's a good percentage of hits versus misses?"

Lonestar
04-11-2011, 09:00 AM
Would love to see those averages by team over the years.
I Suspect we have never been near the best of the best.
I also beleive that a proven GM is something we have lacked for several decades.
Let's hope that John and Xman developed into the quality that BAL, NE, and Indy have had for along time.
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claymore
04-11-2011, 09:22 AM
Bal keeps getting mentioned as having a great front office, but they have one SB win in like 50 years. Manning makes Indy good. So Id say we have had more success than both those clubs. Just my :2cents: